Favorite-Optimist
0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$480.3K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
470000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 69.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$328.3K
$93.3K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
470000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$141.7K
$-93.3K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
6906 shares @ 88.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.6K
$455.90
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
2523 shares @ 80.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.5K
$471.74
- NO
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1531 shares @ 48.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.2K
$512.73
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
13447 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
12092 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-108.83
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-966.66
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
5000 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$41.85Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.34Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$2.8KJun 4, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$42.18Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.10Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$401.75Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.5KJun 3, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.14Jun 3, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$25.81Jun 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.06Jun 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.91Jun 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$16.18Jun 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.42Jun 3, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$55.67Jun 3, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$8.09Jun 3, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12.11Jun 3, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.00Jun 3, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$8.09Jun 3, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.45Jun 3, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.09Jun 3, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $184.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".