0x57c8d7c1c8927ecc01d48c06da7300f487122dc1
0x57c8d7c1c8927ecc01d48c06da7300f487122dc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-227.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?
165 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-66.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?
140 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-79.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 23?
70 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-43.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Education" during today's event with the Governor of Louisiana?
65 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?
45 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 49-50°F on March 23?
35 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-14.17
- YES
Will Trump say "Claudia" or "Sheinbaum" during Bukele visit on April 14?
25 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 11?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 18?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Deficit" during Meloni visit on April 17?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 26?$1.13Jul 26, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?$79.80May 5, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Saylor say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?$75.00May 5, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.40 in April?$5.00May 5, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Saylor say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?$39.75Apr 30, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$40.00Apr 30, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.40 in April?$1.90Apr 28, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$22.40Apr 28, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$5.00Apr 28, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal beat Espanyol?$18.70Apr 27, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal beat Espanyol?$17.60Apr 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fiorentina beat Empoli? $18.55Apr 26, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$1.15Apr 26, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiorentina beat Empoli? $18.90Apr 26, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWho will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?$20.00Apr 26, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Jaxson Dart?$5.00Apr 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atalanta beat AC Milan?$5.40Apr 19, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta beat AC Milan?$5.40Apr 19, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Italy" 10+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?$5.00Apr 19, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-04-19?$1.75Apr 18, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.