Gripping-Fear
0x57debc7dac4b01fc43debe1425e61bd2d91b4537
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.79
Total PnL
$-1.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.33
$0.03
- NO
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.33
$0.03
- YES
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.32
$0.02
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.01
- NO
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 5 be between 4,000 and 4,500?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will "The Drama" score at least 77 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 23?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 23?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.30Apr 6, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Drama" score at least 77 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.30Apr 6, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $13m and $14m?$1.30Apr 6, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Apr 6, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on April 5 be between 4,000 and 4,500?$1.30Apr 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill a party other than the Social Democrats have the Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election?$1.32Mar 28, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$2.01Mar 28, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.34Mar 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a party other than the Social Democrats have the Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election?$1.30Mar 24, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$1.33Mar 24, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 23?$1.30Mar 23, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 23?$1.30Mar 23, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 21 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$2.00Mar 23, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.47Mar 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$1.30Mar 22, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$1.30Mar 22, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21?$2.05Mar 22, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 06:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.