Flat-Prisoner
0x57df91b659179a6b7a2a7553243fe0408317a9c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$28.09Jan 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$10.88Dec 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$16.38Dec 29, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 December 22-28?$28.80Dec 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 December 22-28?$27.36Dec 22, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.60 December 15-21?$30.74Dec 22, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.60 December 15-21?$28.90Dec 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.65Dec 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.65Dec 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say "Prediction Market" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?$4.68Dec 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 16?$2.43Dec 16, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $15.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.