Tedious-Mistake-Picket
0x57e6b7f9bafcba8d55a263212d95c8a5c1a10f25
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$255.05
Win rate
65%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
39542 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-76.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
3457 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
2464 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-318.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
2071 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-298.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1666 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
1322 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-139.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
1254 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-395.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
1125 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
824 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
708 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-39.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target$23.00Jul 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$22.68Jul 14, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$22.06Jul 14, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$22.73Jul 14, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$20.59Jul 14, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$20.25Jul 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$34.66Jul 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$20.64Jul 14, 08:07 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.07Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$22.73Jul 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5.17Jul 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$10.35Jul 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.07Jul 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$11.90Jul 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$103.15Jul 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$110.45Jul 13, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$99.78Jul 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$48.85Jul 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$50.14Jul 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$23.95Jul 13, 12:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $25.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.