Enormous-Embarrassment
0x57f1ab718d234fa0f3af0be35825e1536b4b078a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$22.33
Realised
$43.01
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
1252 shares @ 84.5¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.1K
$44.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?
800 shares @ 88.9¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$589.60
$-121.57
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?
820 shares @ 66.1¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$574.21
$32.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?
611 shares @ 74.4¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$500.98
$46.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
850 shares @ 48.5¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$395.25
$-16.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
208 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$40.53
$1.04
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
50 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$36.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
25 shares @ 94.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$17.63
$-5.88
- NO
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$14.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
10 shares @ 70.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$7.05
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$4.50Jun 23, 23:15 UTC
- REWARD$36.47Jun 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$311.07Jun 23, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$35.80Jun 23, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$71.10Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?$197.06Jun 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?$15.97Jun 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$3.00Jun 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.78Jun 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$14.00Jun 23, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?$460.49Jun 23, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$37.48Jun 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?$316.96Jun 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$8.96Jun 23, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$11.04Jun 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$208.36Jun 23, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$23.50Jun 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$3.50Jun 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$25.48Jun 23, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$145.36Jun 23, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $130.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 23:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.