Harmful-Synonym
0x58056e1f5efd3ee396025711b71e700c1529c215
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-426.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of November?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
370 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-176.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?
205 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 29?
55 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-51.48
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
5 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$96.00May 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$80.00May 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$184.63May 9, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$181.00May 8, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 6?$181.62May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 6?$180.09May 5, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?$98.98May 5, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?$100.17May 5, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?$183.78May 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?$181.14Apr 30, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$181.50Apr 30, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on April 29?$196.41Apr 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 29?$51.64Apr 29, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on April 27?$204.91Apr 29, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on April 27?$200.00Apr 26, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?$99.82Apr 26, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?$71.80Apr 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?$1.67Apr 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?$19.53Apr 25, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$75.00Apr 25, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $142.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.