Surprised-Tear
0x5811c86a12061d014b54812b0ea71b469953d4c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.68
Total PnL
$-0.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.68
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on July 18?
360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
270 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Democrat Party (DP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.30Jan 20, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrat Party (DP) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.30Jan 20, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$20.68Jan 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$9.50Jan 20, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?$13.00Jan 20, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?$12.91Dec 5, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$8.94Dec 5, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.01Aug 31, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?$0.00Aug 31, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$4.44Aug 31, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$19.98Aug 21, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?$20.98Jul 24, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$21.46Jul 19, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".