Novel-Vagrant
0x5815468d891633872060b847b82eb605e0ba787a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.92
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
80 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$0.00
$-24.80
- YES
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
40 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
24 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on November 1?$2.86Nov 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?$24.80Oct 17, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on October 11?$0.00Oct 16, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on October 11?$0.00Oct 16, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMPhillies vs. Mets Series Winner$0.00Oct 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?$0.96Oct 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.27Oct 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another team win La Liga?$15.58Oct 9, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win La Liga?$15.58Oct 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$10.82Oct 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$10.83Oct 5, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$8.08Oct 3, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.35Oct 3, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$3.62Oct 1, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$8.08Oct 1, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$3.49Oct 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$0.82Oct 1, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$7.61Oct 1, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.17Sep 30, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$4.28Sep 29, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 1, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.