Insecure-Crook
0x5816bb467a5b250da24adf89db25e295e46d57f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$11.88
Total PnL
$-40.86
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.54
$-3.46
- YES
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Cuba" or "Cigar" this week? (February 8)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)$7.02Feb 6, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.00Feb 4, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$3.19Feb 3, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$5.00Feb 3, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 2, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hat" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 2, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)$3.00Feb 2, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)$4.00Feb 2, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 2, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" or "Cigar" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 2, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" this week? (February 1)$2.38Feb 2, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1)$5.88Feb 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$0.26Jan 29, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 14:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".