Chilly-Observatory
0x5817d05244f2d6357fca69c1e9a6c3c1d4d89306
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$6.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2AM ET
349 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
244 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.86
- NO
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
208 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.39
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
194 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-19.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5AM ET
183 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4AM ET
159 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?$10.71Apr 14, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$15.63Feb 8, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$8.39Feb 8, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$7.24Feb 8, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$13.31Feb 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.32Jan 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$0.41Jan 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$0.91Jan 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$23.57Jan 6, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$23.56Jan 6, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$23.38Jan 6, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$23.38Jan 6, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$14.13Jan 5, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$10.00Jan 5, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$10.00Jan 5, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 5?$10.00Jan 5, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz drop out by January 6?$5.00Jan 5, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$20.00Jan 5, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".