First-Giant
0x581906858a863594e60e82b9af0e9e81828621f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-388.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?
1817 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-203.11
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
1290 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.90
- YES
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
74 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-29.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
59 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
34 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$29.06Mar 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$5.00Mar 6, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$14.08Mar 6, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.82Feb 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMOver $600M committed to the Monad public sale?$0.00Feb 13, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$0.00Feb 13, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.78Feb 13, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$8.47Feb 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.72Feb 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.00Feb 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.00Feb 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$15.72Feb 13, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$9.99Feb 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$20.00Feb 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$5.89Feb 9, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?$100.00Jan 21, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $58.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.