Wan-Whack
0x5823b578117bb80977425f78cba33aa91a9cb750
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.73
Total PnL
$-7.58
Realised
$-1.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$7.27
$2.33
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
69 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.05Feb 16, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$5.00Feb 16, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$9.55Feb 16, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Feb 16, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.00Feb 16, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$8.79Feb 16, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$7.27Feb 16, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$3.57Feb 16, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?$1.00Feb 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.