Gracious-Pest
0x582ad3955957fe1e76a58149ee9d4ad05678fae8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.06
Total PnL
$-12.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$6.06
$5.09
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Coinbase a top 25 app in March?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Korčok win?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin above $70,000 on Friday?$0.00Mar 29, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reddit IPO at between $10b-12.5b valuation?$0.00Mar 29, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMIndonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?$0.00Mar 29, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.97Mar 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June?$1.00Mar 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvard get fewer applicants this year?$1.00Mar 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY$WIF listed on Coinbase in March?$1.00Mar 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BTC hit $90,000 in March?$5.00Mar 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $70,000 on Friday?$1.00Mar 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase a top 25 app in March?$5.00Mar 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reddit IPO at between $10b-12.5b valuation?$1.00Mar 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexican Presidential Election: Will Xóchitl Gálvez win?$1.00Mar 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSlovakia Presidential Election: Will Ivan Korčok win?$1.00Mar 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$1.00Mar 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March?$1.00Mar 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?$1.00Mar 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?$1.00Mar 18, 05:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".