Grounded-Bear
0x582d9040c90be0f996bfd3a2c1165f98052f29cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.92
Total PnL
$-43.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?
3 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.82
$0.82
- NO
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Mariners
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- TEXAS TECH
Texas Tech vs. Florida
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- HORNETS
Thunder vs. Hornets
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 15?$1.05May 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$2.02May 14, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on May 15?$3.00May 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?$4.00May 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.03May 14, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $30?$10.01May 1, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $30?$10.00Feb 23, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Magic$13.52Feb 23, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Magic$12.84Nov 10, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Avalanche$12.84Nov 7, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Avalanche$11.56Nov 5, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMRolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublev$11.56Nov 5, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublev$11.44Oct 30, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $150 on October 20?$10.11Oct 30, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on October 20?$10.10Oct 20, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMTulsa vs. East Carolina$5.75Oct 20, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17?$20.00Oct 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsa vs. East Carolina$5.00Oct 16, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTigers vs. Mariners$2.00Oct 11, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 10?$10.01Oct 11, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".