Unwitting-Perception
0x58477b629af784baaf75fd8fb31f960f7d02a528
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$19.37
Total PnL
$-40.72
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.37
$-0.06
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
30 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?
20 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-15.38
- YES
Will "Reverse Sweep" be said during the Valorant Masters London 2026 Grand Finals?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 19, 2026?
20 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- NO
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?
20 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will the match not air?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during UFC 250?
20 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aday Mara be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.06Jun 24, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.08Jun 24, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keaton Wagler be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?$0.08Jun 24, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$8.85Jun 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $3B one day after launch?$19.43Jun 23, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 23?$19.38Jun 23, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 23?$18.78Jun 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.02Jun 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Qatar" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.04Jun 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.04Jun 23, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$5.88Jun 23, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 23?$18.40Jun 23, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 23?$18.79Jun 23, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.60Jun 23, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.20Jun 23, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.20Jun 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Qatar" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.20Jun 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$5.93Jun 23, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$0.36Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match not air?$0.04Jun 23, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.