Flimsy-Lute
0x5849c946be5a6895a83d004edccaa8c3191ca99e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$29.71
Total PnL
$-71.10
Realised
$308.28
Win rate
94%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
461 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.45
$4.25
- YES
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
439 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.95
$0.75
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
430 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.58
$1.03
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
867 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.17
$-0.35
- YES
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
503 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.01
$0.37
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
746 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.86
$-0.51
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
669 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.67
$0.10
- YES
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$0.33
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
452 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$-1.27
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
723 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $30 in June?$0.60Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$0.75Jun 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.60Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$3.00Jun 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?$1.50Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$0.30Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.12Jun 13, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.20Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.02Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?$1.30Jun 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.08Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1.14Jun 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in June?$0.15Jun 13, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in June?$0.24Jun 13, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$0.14Jun 13, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in June?$0.40Jun 13, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$0.04Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?$0.05Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.