Nervous-Membership
0x584c19b8cb9972ec3b02469ead99b36f3da7bf45
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$118.13
Total PnL
$-121.73
Realised
$-3.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
118 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.13
$64.97
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?
557 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?
556 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
550 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-48.17
- YES
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?
280 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
250 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
57 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.73Dec 18, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$11.00Dec 18, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$5.80Dec 18, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?$0.21Dec 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?$4.79Dec 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$2.22Dec 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$10.81Dec 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?$1.41Dec 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?$13.00Dec 15, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?$14.00Dec 15, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$43.34Dec 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$8.18Dec 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.55Dec 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.08Dec 13, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Dec 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?$2.37Nov 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.00Nov 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?$4.00Nov 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.31Nov 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?$7.95Nov 25, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $12.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".