0x58520a8305297c2600a7e8e1820e116c56ebc8c1
0x58520a8305297c2600a7e8e1820e116c56ebc8c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?
19 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 17?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 15?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$3.00Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 21?$0.00Jul 22, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21?$0.00Jul 22, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 18?$0.00Jul 22, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?$0.00Jul 22, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$0.00Jul 22, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?$1.92Jul 18, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 17?$2.03Jul 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on July 16?$1.89Jul 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 15?$2.04Jul 14, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 15?$1.94Jul 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?$1.00Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.