Tough-Bikini
0x585dfe4e77efa16961ebcf012d0b0f207fb57396
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.48
Realised
$0.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?
547 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 1?$1.00Nov 2, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 2?$5.00Nov 2, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?$0.03Nov 2, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 2?$1.00Nov 2, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 8, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 8, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.00Sep 8, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.78Sep 8, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?$2.67Sep 8, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?$2.00Sep 3, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?$1.00Sep 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?$1.00Sep 3, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation before October?$16.86Sep 3, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.03Aug 30, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?$3.44Aug 30, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30?$1.00Aug 30, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$2.00Aug 30, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on August 29 at 4PM ET?$2.00Aug 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.25Aug 28, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?$2.50Aug 28, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.