Obvious-Jar
0x5868c2fb5c90a408c27db730e0d551611d33ae3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.09
Total PnL
$-12.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 25?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?
928 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 October 13-19?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on January 16?
700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?
408 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $250 on October 20?
234 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$92.01Jun 2, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$92.18Jun 2, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$92.01May 23, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$92.28May 23, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$92.02May 19, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$92.09May 19, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$92.00May 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?$1.05May 13, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.09May 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$93.00May 9, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?$93.09May 9, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?$93.01May 5, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$93.09May 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$93.00Apr 27, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?$93.09Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?$93.00Apr 24, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$2.00Apr 24, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$94.17Apr 24, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$94.00Apr 18, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 16?$94.09Apr 18, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $86.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".