Unlined-Caravan
0x586cdd7381f930b33f059fac6b1e55f85bc4b6b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$60.37
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$20.91
$0.91
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- UNDER
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5
42 shares @ 23.6¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
492 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?
457 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-239.00
- YES
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?
370 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-33.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 17, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.39May 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.20May 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5$10.23May 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$20.27May 16, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$10.17May 16, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$10.24May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$10.14May 15, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$45.45May 11, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5$20.34May 7, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$10.27May 7, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$35.67May 6, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5$150.90May 6, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$5.13May 6, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5$5.15May 6, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$50.93May 6, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$173.36Nov 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$96.76Nov 15, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$120.00Oct 24, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 15?$30.00Oct 15, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $38.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".