Pleasing-Emergence
0x586ecf0d4412edb14066485fc1b9fc9a55d1cded
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$15.89
Total PnL
$2.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?
16 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$15.89
$10.33
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?$5.56Jul 31, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$3.63Jul 20, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$4.40Jun 12, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)$0.00Jun 6, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)$1.05May 6, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch a token in January?$2.51Feb 7, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$12.06Feb 7, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$16.63Feb 7, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berachain launch a token in January?$2.50Jan 30, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?$12.04Jan 30, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$16.61Jan 30, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$30.57Jan 21, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.49Jan 19, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$5.94Jan 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$23.06Jan 18, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.00Jan 15, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMRipple above $2.40 on January 10?$3.40Jan 15, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $2.40 on January 10?$1.94Jan 9, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMTether Insolvent in 2024?$1.41Jan 2, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMAstaria airdrop in 2024?$8.59Jan 2, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".