Defiant-Sheep
0x586f211ccdfc737e09e9dae3f1db52f6ba9025c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$178.86
Total PnL
$0.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
52 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$52.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 12?
39 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$39.07
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on April 22?
39 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$39.06
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on May 31?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 2?
16 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$15.61
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 2?$15.59May 31, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on May 31?$24.00May 30, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$52.00Apr 21, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on April 22?$39.00Apr 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 12?$39.00Apr 11, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on April 2?$31.03Apr 2, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$15.06Apr 1, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on April 2?$31.00Apr 1, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 27?$29.06Mar 27, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 27?$29.00Mar 26, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 25?$29.09Mar 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 25?$29.00Mar 23, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 43°C or higher on March 17?$22.02Mar 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 43°C or higher on March 17?$22.00Mar 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.00Mar 8, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $30 on March 3?$1.00Mar 4, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$15.00Mar 3, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$12.01Mar 3, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $30 on March 3?$1.00Feb 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$12.00Feb 26, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $352.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 05:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".