Defenseless-Login
0x5874f18a2ca6558ac8671f491f3f99498fd36b11
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$17.8K
Total PnL
$-19.6K
Realised
$991.24
Win rate
53%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
32239 shares @ 5.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$968.59
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
4200 shares @ 50.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.7K
$531.00
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4661 shares @ 9.1¢·now 38.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.8K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$-75.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2102 shares @ 63.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$-109.68
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2496 shares @ 42.7¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$120.49
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
53082 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$-107.49
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22776 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$967.98
$102.52
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$835.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$4.23Jun 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$305.21Jun 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$110.04Jun 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$212.00Jun 13, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$967.81Jun 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$84.80Jun 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$0.72Jun 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$112.60Jun 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$111.37Jun 13, 00:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.96Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$20.38Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.80Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.48Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$55.06Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$528.88Jun 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$71.12Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$23.86Jun 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$600.00Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24.04Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.02Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $154.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.