Honorable-Mechanic
0x589ba1e648900022a8a8023ae3755121a4d2de3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$246.97
Total PnL
$-181.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.55
$4.55
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 90.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.30
$8.00
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$35.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
748 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.12
$-6.31
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
354 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-77.60
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
99 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-71.19
- NO
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?
47 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- NO
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?
39 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$53.00May 21, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$100.00May 12, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$80.00May 12, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$111.87May 12, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$101.01Apr 12, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Apr 7, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 30?$5.07Apr 2, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?$9.87Apr 2, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMHouthis successfully target shipping by March 31?$205.00Apr 1, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$15.00Apr 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$4.75Apr 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$5.00Apr 1, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$63.21Mar 31, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$91.00Mar 31, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$27.09Mar 31, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$95.00Mar 31, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$72.00Mar 31, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthis successfully target shipping by March 31?$103.84Mar 31, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$8.03Mar 31, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthis successfully target shipping by March 31?$98.90Mar 31, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $47.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.