Fluid-Family
0x589ca3166fe09097d95814b9f87a510a3bd7c048
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-573.74
Realised
$-352.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4335 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.99
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
915 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-162.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
152 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.95
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
109 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
24 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.74Jul 10, 16:08 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.60Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 19, 18:23 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.22Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.95Jun 15, 02:52 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.89Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $20.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 16:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.