Aggravating-Tophat
0x589f2f0d0490276245c05eb2126bd8f5595b8626
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$5.65
Total PnL
$-144.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
14 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 22?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 5?
770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?
766 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 8?
766 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 13?
760 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
755 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 19?
752 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?$102.10Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$10.62Jul 19, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?$102.01Jul 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$8.68Jul 18, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in June?$110.11Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.60 in June?$110.01Jun 30, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$14.11Jun 14, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $660-$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?$96.19Jun 12, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $660-$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?$96.00Jun 12, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.75Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$82.82Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$82.74May 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2$4.79May 31, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$87.53May 31, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$87.37May 30, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$87.37May 30, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$87.28May 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.74May 29, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Canada vs. USA$8.80May 29, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on May 28?$12.51May 29, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $82.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.