Flawless-Thorn
0x58a6e28fba23e9a67588020b2081a31e688b2faa
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$24.69
Total PnL
$-5.80
Realised
$-1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?
11 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$11.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.27
$0.01
- NO
White girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?
1 shares @ 87.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$358.92Nov 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Nov 5, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?$11.00Nov 5, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$367.90Nov 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?$374.69Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?$376.20Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$2.00Nov 5, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLDavid Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?$0.99Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?$2.08Nov 5, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$0.99Nov 5, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31?$1.03Nov 5, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.00Sep 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDavid Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31?$1.00Sep 23, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboi Carti release another album before August?$2.17Sep 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Fried win the 2025 AL Cy Young?$1.03Sep 23, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhite girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty? $2.00Jul 4, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?$2.00Jul 4, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $46.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".