Unsightly-Fishnet
0x58acac5c0b1bdf4e852ab92fc9e7de3d2d6c27dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-102.80
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
191169 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-301.73
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
134333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-200.74
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
109027 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-654.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
5172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4036 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
571 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
202 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-54.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
27 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.04Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$1.5KJun 30, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-27?$55.68Jun 28, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.84Jun 28, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $98.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.