Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.2K

Realised

$-170.47

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 50

YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1350 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-200.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
890 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
625 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
492 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
353 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-10.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
338 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026
$0.00
$-211.79
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
136 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026
$0.00
$-99.03
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
135 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-9.99
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$92.00Mar 11, 21:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$8.68Mar 11, 20:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 20:34 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.69Mar 11, 20:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 20:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 19:58 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.79Mar 11, 19:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.97Mar 11, 19:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$19.54Mar 11, 19:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 19:32 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$3.00Mar 11, 19:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 19:28 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$16.12Mar 11, 19:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$20.00Mar 11, 19:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$22.04Mar 11, 19:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$20.00Mar 11, 19:19 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$11.05Mar 11, 17:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 17:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$102.42Mar 11, 17:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$100.00Mar 11, 17:26 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry24 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $60.64
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 7, 22:42 UTC
Last active: Mar 11, 21:43 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:51:31 UTC·src:Polymarket Data