Cheerful-Spelt
0x58b5c1ad0aee0041df3f0d3b540219456f67c3ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
1%
118 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
3333 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-878.77
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 12?
2000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-527.37
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 11?
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-263.68
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 13?
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-263.68
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 62 million views on day 5?
829 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
809 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 5?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13?
500 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-132.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.10Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.04Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.35Jun 14, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.06Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.98Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.04Jun 14, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.18Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.04Jun 14, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.03Jun 14, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.03Jun 14, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.98Jun 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.04Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.46Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.61Apr 26, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.17Apr 7, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Apr 7, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 118 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
118 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 118 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.