Knobby-Effector
0x58bcc8812424c9ae0aaafd4a3eee85b6318046c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-183.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
1287 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France by November 30?
572 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany by November 30?
570 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?
284 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
233 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
194 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by October 3?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US strike Syria next?$5.71Mar 1, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$2.00Jan 19, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Nigeria next?$3.00Jan 19, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Syria next?$5.00Jan 19, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$5.00Jan 19, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1.00Nov 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?$20.50Nov 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$27.00Nov 8, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$20.00Nov 6, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?$5.00Nov 6, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel by November 30?$5.00Nov 6, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany by November 30?$5.00Nov 6, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France by November 30?$5.00Nov 6, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?$5.00Nov 6, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?$5.00Nov 6, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025?$5.00Nov 6, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?$5.00Nov 6, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$20.00Nov 6, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.33Nov 6, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$4.08Nov 6, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".