Multicolored-Abolishment
0x58bd19c5daaff27b15f63eaece6477d6c59353ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-732.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 15?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?
561 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-421.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 14?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 12?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 13?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 5-11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?$2.00Jan 27, 10:48 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Jan 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?$421.07Jan 26, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$670.00Jan 26, 11:02 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$670.00Jan 20, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 6AM ET$700.00Jan 20, 21:49 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 20, 6AM ET$700.00Jan 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 6AM ET$700.00Jan 20, 10:57 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 6AM ET$700.00Jan 19, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?$1.00Jan 19, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET$710.00Jan 19, 10:30 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET$710.00Jan 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 17, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 16, 10AM ET$710.00Jan 17, 10:54 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 16, 10AM ET$710.00Jan 16, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ET$710.00Jan 16, 15:41 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ET$710.00Jan 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?$1.00Jan 16, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$710.00Jan 16, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $133.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 10:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.