Fitting-Hog
0x58c2390674c99549ff2bbab9e100dd99ba4bcbc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 15.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$4.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.00
$0.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
7780 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.9K
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
3213 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-568.95
- YES
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$4.98Jun 10, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 10, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.95May 31, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$5.00May 31, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77May 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$4.65May 5, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$5.50May 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$4.40Mar 15, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.2KDec 30, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.0KDec 30, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.0KDec 30, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.6KDec 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.8KDec 29, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$568.95Dec 29, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$3.9KDec 29, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.6KDec 29, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$602.05Dec 29, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.0KDec 29, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.5KDec 29, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2025-11-02?$2.55Oct 29, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $925.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.