Staid-Growth
0x58c6d98c47dc4168560f49aa2a7d756c4d677ff9
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-172.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
750 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$605.63
$230.63
- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays
939 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$352.02
$4.69
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$174.70
$74.70
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
750 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$144.38
$-230.63
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
80 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$46.80
$0.40
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.05
$-6.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.30
$-74.70
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
835 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$22.54
$-27.55
- YES
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$19.79
$-0.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
115 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays$353.89Jun 28, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-28?$46.98Jun 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$20.32Jun 28, 06:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$30.54Jun 26, 04:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$41.67Jun 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$25.30Jun 24, 02:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$200.00Jun 23, 03:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $67.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.