Stale-Democracy
0x58cd3af841240327385e62c41a6ac2a9fb4f9335
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$76.60
Total PnL
$11.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google be the second most valuable company on October 31?
33 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$33.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
18 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$17.95
$10.95
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$7.78
$0.78
- YES
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.46
$2.46
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$7.22
$0.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$3.13
$2.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Oct 6, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the second most valuable company on October 31?$33.00Oct 6, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?$7.00Oct 6, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Oct 2, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$7.00Oct 2, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$7.00Oct 2, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?$2.34Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?$3.02Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27?$3.02Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 265–279 times June 20–27?$3.02Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$3.03Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?$3.03Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 250–264 times June 20–27?$3.04Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 235–249 times June 20–27?$3.05Oct 2, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?$2.00Jun 26, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 5?$3.00Jun 26, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?$3.00Jun 26, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$1.00Jun 26, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$1.00Jun 26, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 235–249 times June 20–27?$3.00Jun 21, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 6, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.