Definite-Watercress
0x58d3168833672e83248e6c23919f58d433343118
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in May 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jacob Markstrom win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.05Jun 9, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 20, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 20, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Apr 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$1.00Mar 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Mar 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Mar 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.00Mar 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.00Mar 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Calgary Flames win the Pacific Division?$1.00Mar 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Markstrom win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$1.00Feb 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Feb 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Astralis win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Jan 22, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.00Jan 22, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Dec 23, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 24?$1.00Nov 25, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.