Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-510.09

Realised

$11.52

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 45

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
124 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-77.39
YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-12-03?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-8.00
YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22?
69 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00
NO
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-01-29?
45 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET
45 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-30.89
49ERS
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
44 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026
$0.00
$-24.44
YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-01-29?
43 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$0.00
$-6.69
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ET
40 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-12.85
BULLS
Bulls vs. Hornets
34 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-22?$20.00Mar 22, 23:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$14.33Feb 28, 16:03 UTC
TRADESELLChile Open: Matias Soto vs Tomas Etcheverry$88.23Feb 23, 19:46 UTC
TRADEBUYChile Open: Matias Soto vs Tomas Etcheverry$90.00Feb 23, 17:33 UTC
TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$8.00Feb 20, 16:16 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$0.28Feb 19, 00:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$24.62Feb 18, 15:23 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$27.30Feb 18, 15:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.85Feb 18, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.85Feb 18, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.61Feb 18, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.43Feb 18, 15:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.25Feb 18, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.50Feb 18, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.05Feb 18, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.76Feb 18, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.38Feb 18, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.07Feb 18, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.60Feb 18, 15:20 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry80 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk47 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $7.40
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 18, 15:17 UTC
Last active: Mar 22, 23:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:08:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data