Unruly-Probability
0x58d4b1b7ae0a260d41001f749c9b64d8dcc55efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$826.13
Total PnL
$-131.37
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
824 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$819.01
$-1.24
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
14 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$7.12
$-0.21
- UNDER
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5
17 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
14 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.96
- OVER
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- ARNALDI
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Arnaldi
13 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5
13 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- UNDER
Berrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.32
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
12 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
- UNDER
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5
12 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$3.07Jun 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$1.09Jun 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins$3.22Jun 4, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$4.99Jun 4, 03:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5$0.64Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKalinskaya vs. Chwalinska: Match O/U 21.5$3.43Jun 3, 08:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWong vs. Tarvet: Match O/U 22.5$3.97Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWong vs. Tarvet: Match O/U 22.5$0.44Jun 2, 10:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKeys vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5$2.87Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$2.38May 31, 09:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 31, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$12.80May 30, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBerrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5$1.12May 30, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBerrettini vs. Comesana: Match O/U 38.5$5.20May 30, 07:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$6.37May 29, 07:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".