Lively-Dinner
0x58dfe9a9662857bfd6c8b6dcc09f4753e6a00e05
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$37.43
Total PnL
$-0.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.88
$4.88
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
269 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
148 shares @ 8.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.40
$-5.60
- YES
Will Kirill Kaprizov win the Hart Trophy?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$12.00Jan 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$15.00Jan 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.00Jan 4, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00Jan 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?$0.00May 2, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?$0.00May 2, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?$0.00May 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?$0.98May 2, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?$1.93May 2, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?$2.00May 2, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?$1.00May 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City vs. Wolves end in a draw?$0.95May 2, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Wolves end in a draw?$1.00May 2, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?$1.00Apr 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?$5.00Apr 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?$1.00Apr 29, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$15.93Apr 29, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$21.40Apr 18, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club vs. Rangers end in a draw?$0.00Apr 18, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $21.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".