Agreeable-Habit
0x58e00ab8705d2307bf78f04bc0533d8a1aa32f6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$43.28
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$0.00
- NO
Will "Wanda Sykes: Legacy" be the top global Netflix show this week?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.30
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.60
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.51
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 22?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.26
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 23?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$0.00
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 22?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 22?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$149.99Jun 5, 02:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.00May 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$150.04May 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$6.60May 22, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.80May 22, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $63.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.