Qualified-Place
0x58ede37862b771f42528e900604b7cd00f25f4a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.63
Total PnL
$-5.16
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- RAYS
White Sox vs. Rays
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.31
- HOMEBOIS
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: HomeBois vs Monster Vicious (BO5)
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$1.00Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$0.97Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?$1.00Jul 28, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 1, 2026?$1.00Jul 28, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$69.92Jul 28, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$63.91Jul 28, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$70.01Jul 27, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$64.01Jul 27, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$1.11Jul 27, 05:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.26May 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$49.88May 25, 05:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.01May 18, 07:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $88.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.