Careful-Corridor
0x58f10bf13a0be9aef40980879714b884f2c923bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
667 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
286 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?
284 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NO
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
196 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-133.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$250.00Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$269.46Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?$307.69Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$327.53Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump drops Powell investigation by February 28?$579.03Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?$200.00Feb 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$200.00Feb 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump drops Powell investigation by February 28?$500.00Feb 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$250.00Feb 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$150.00Feb 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$200.00Feb 11, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$500.00Feb 9, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$69.30Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$75.76Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$140.23Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$184.60Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$243.66Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?$263.07Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on US military by January 31?$304.88Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?$342.47Feb 9, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $112.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.