Whirlwind-Memo
0x58fcf1ebc9e29ca6746d3bef3116b171d8cd77ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-6.07
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
63 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
50 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
46 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
42 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
35 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.47
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
34 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.16
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
33 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
24 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$6.14Jul 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.15Jul 22, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$5.00Jul 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$4.06Jul 22, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.87Jul 22, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$4.09Jul 22, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$5.63Jul 22, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$6.44Jul 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.22Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.08Jul 22, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$4.05Jul 22, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.12Jul 22, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.05Jul 22, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.99Jul 22, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.05Jul 22, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.08Jul 22, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$5.06Jul 22, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$4.06Jul 22, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.48Jul 21, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.