Frightened-Kitsch
0x58fd45d701b93e76d6c04a0983ee5b3cc29d43a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$36.95
Total PnL
$-918.33
Realised
$266.38
Win rate
100%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
3035 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.55
$1.52
- YES
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8997 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
2810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.21
$1.40
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
8300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.15
$-4.15
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
2495 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.74
$1.25
- YES
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2406 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.61
$1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$3.00Jun 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.53Jun 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$7.70Jun 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.02Jun 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.46Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.55Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.08Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.