Blaring-Sociology
0x58fddba69d20a6928ba3ffb1aee34c5e6f61fda2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
1138 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
549 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00May 31, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.04May 30, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.05May 30, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00May 30, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00May 30, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.04May 30, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.03May 30, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?$1.00Mar 29, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.93Mar 27, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$3.86Mar 27, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2.00Mar 27, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.00Mar 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.00Mar 27, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.93Mar 23, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.