Jumpy-Measurement
0x5905568b3042844aaf9b39f643294301d6f8b1a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
924 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.87
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?
28 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$4.06Jun 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$5.19Apr 29, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ukraine" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$1.43Mar 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$1.90Mar 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?$10.00Mar 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?$10.00Mar 18, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$1.96Jan 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 28, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.