Timely-Law
0x590fd6c7273c41884c299290734b9f430d3132f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.87
Realised
$2.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will US attack Iran by February 15?
48 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2024$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?
30 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2023$0.00
$-15.45
- NO
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2023$0.00
$-12.65
- YES
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$0.00
$-8.03
- YES
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2024$0.00
$-7.05
- NO
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10?
15 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2023$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Hamas surrender before February?
15 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend?
9 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2023$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?
2 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$8.11Dec 18, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$8.64Dec 18, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$3.00Nov 4, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$7.00Nov 4, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?$15.00Mar 28, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?$1.00Mar 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?$2.25Mar 5, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?$3.92Mar 3, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?$0.08Mar 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?$0.12Feb 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?$0.29Feb 11, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US attack Iran by February 15?$1.00Feb 3, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US attack Iran by February 15?$2.55Jan 29, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?$8.70Jan 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?$2.00Jan 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?$17.63Jan 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?$0.82Jan 16, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?$0.68Dec 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024?$2.06Dec 29, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYYahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1?$7.05Dec 23, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".