Plump-Enactment
0x59118ff0e754b4eb0acb5eaafdac70221c349920
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-702.40
Realised
$-52.33
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
3500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?
1561 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-124.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
1390 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
892 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?
528 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-68.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
524 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-29.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
334 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-69.51
- JAPAN
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
272 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-73.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
195 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-35.10
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.81Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?$59.45Jul 6, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?$7.65Jul 6, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?$3.52Jul 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?$32.49Jul 6, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?$57.10Jul 6, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$51.37Jul 6, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$9.59Jul 6, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$2.86Jul 6, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$8.08Jul 6, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$86.04Jul 6, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$40.21Jul 6, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$2.06Jul 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$169.10Jul 3, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?$171.18Jul 3, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$4.64Jul 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$14.66Jul 2, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$6.39Jul 2, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$9.37Jul 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$16.74Jul 2, 14:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $69.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.